Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 14.930300 16.928085 19.197988 21.990235 25.363338 29.346482 34.466281
2025-06-22 11.796098 14.146223 17.035439 20.916449 26.101571 32.955552 42.998579
2025-06-29 9.917112 12.306390 15.390955 19.775956 26.044050 35.013957 49.505929
2025-07-06 8.708403 11.093134 14.290877 19.046554 26.231994 37.232350 56.619070
2025-07-13 8.685781 11.422020 15.266483 21.319134 31.148734 47.635282 80.523054
2025-07-20 8.246827 11.098903 15.246403 22.063385 33.774863 54.926513 101.851506
2025-07-27 7.557432 10.333212 14.466585 21.468655 33.993855 57.888997 115.452236
2025-08-03 7.258187 10.111133 14.480998 22.159299 36.597470 66.132764 145.549846
2025-08-10 6.791425 9.587576 13.958059 21.844816 37.236467 70.451346 168.012024
2025-08-17 6.384642 9.122104 13.480213 21.539618 37.824266 74.813494 193.494992
2025-08-24 6.052522 8.747868 13.115832 21.389295 38.694055 80.106502 226.080809
2025-08-31 5.691750 8.300819 12.588314 20.865104 38.664856 83.131608 253.045446
2025-09-07 5.423473 8.000859 12.312618 20.843588 39.873103 90.242892 305.918809
2025-09-14 5.029969 7.468477 11.589344 19.858035 38.697145 90.299357 327.367748
2025-09-21 4.661333 6.955985 10.864415 18.793760 37.164883 88.887094 340.765606
2025-09-28 4.379903 6.575495 10.350782 18.112786 36.467485 89.931147 370.411615
2025-10-05 4.501781 6.891336 11.128725 20.232573 43.295014 118.943065 645.511912
2025-10-12 4.424725 6.853084 11.240432 20.925534 46.553500 137.503760 919.108268
2025-10-19 4.206387 6.550240 10.821772 20.371837 46.172199 141.330272 1055.310732
2025-10-26 4.138338 6.513369 10.916684 21.014795 49.468649 163.196027 1569.296267
2025-11-02 3.974291 6.292104 10.630439 20.722090 49.846472 171.865127 1947.378571
2025-11-09 3.822344 6.085334 10.359494 20.437925 50.204410 180.846935 2442.611793
2025-11-16 3.694694 5.917211 10.155767 20.297924 51.018068 193.030624 3231.769059